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These of us who observe electrical car gross sales know that absolutely electrical autos accounted for greater than 80% of Norway’s auto gross sales in 2023, and that 100% electrical autos already make up greater than 24% of the overall fleet there. We additionally know that in China, which has about half of all worldwide EV gross sales, gross sales penetration of BEVs was at about 25% in 2023. Nonetheless, EVs nonetheless made up lower than 5% of the overall fleet in China by the top of the 12 months.
In California, 25% of all automobiles bought within the final quarter of 2023 have been EVs — it’s the largest EV market within the US by far. Nonetheless, EVs made up simply ~4% of the overall California gentle car fleet on the finish of 2022. Although 1 in 4 new automobiles bought in California final quarter have been EVs, it’s going to take a very long time earlier than a major a part of the sunshine car fleet is EVs.
US plugin car gross sales have been solely ~8% in 2022 (9.4% in 2023) and the overall share of the fleet was only one.3% by the top of the 12 months. Alternatively, older automobiles have a tendency to sit down within the storage whereas new ones are pushed extra. That is significantly true of EVs vs. fuel automobiles. In my home, everybody desires to drive the EV. The fuel automobile is certainly the final choice to be exercised.
How does this examine to EV penetration in my Northern Utah neighborhood?
Once I retired from NASA Goddard House Flight Heart in Maryland in 2005, we moved to Lindon, Utah, 30 miles south of Salt Lake Metropolis, to be close to our children and grandchildren. We picked a home with a lovely view of Utah Valley and Utah Lake. After dwelling for 65 years in areas the place Mormons (members of our religion) have been a tiny minority, we have been shocked to be taught that of the 120 households in our neighborhood, roughly 115 have been lively Mormons and commonly attended our ward (congregation) in our native chapel constructing. That is the story of EV uptake in our ward.
In 2014, 4 of our ward members, together with me, purchased Nissan LEAFs for the killer lease worth of $200/month. Two of the members didn’t renew the leases. I, nevertheless, was hooked on EVs. I additionally leased a 2016 Nissan LEAF after which bought a 2018 Nissan LEAF.
1) On October 19, 2019, I made the massive soar and traded the LEAF in for a white, dual-motor, 310-mile vary Tesla Mannequin 3 which I nonetheless personal.
2) At about the identical time, a member of our ward bought a purple efficiency model of the 2019 Tesla Mannequin 3 (see image under).
![](https://cleantechnica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/5642_DougMcKays2019PerformanceTeslaModel3_LindonUtah_17December20203-scaled.jpg)
The true EV pioneer of the ward had began with an EV conversion of his Triumph sports activities automobile again in 2012, but it surely wasn’t very profitable. Extra lately, he has bought a 3) Chevy Volt and a 4) Chevy Bolt (see image under).
![](https://cleantechnica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Chevy-Volt-Chevy-Bolt-Utah.jpeg)
5) Additionally, my neighbor simply throughout the road then bought a Chevy Volt.
For the subsequent 3 years, nothing! Nonetheless, 12 months in the past, one of many early LEAF house owners in my ward bought 6) a yellow Ford Mustang Mach-E (see under). He likes the attractive yellow colour however is sort of disenchanted as a result of he doesn’t assume the know-how is sort of as much as the requirements of Tesla.
![](https://cleantechnica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/PaulHilliard_MustangMachE_LindonUT_17September2023.jpg)
7) Then, the second early LEAF proprietor purchased the attractive Tesla Mannequin X proven under.
![](https://cleantechnica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/SteveWiest_Tesla2023Red-ModelX_Smaller.jpg)
I additionally simply discovered that one other ward member bought 8) a lovely white Rivian pickup truck. It’s the featured car on the Drop Detailing (Murray, Utah) web site. He made a cross-country journey lately and was not impressed with the CCS fast-charging infrastructure at this level. The opposite day, 9) a lovely purple Tesla Mannequin X drove by my home. It was bought by one other of the 4 early LEAF house owners who had lastly determined to go completely electrical.
![](https://cleantechnica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/BrianSparksRivian_DropDetailing_Enhanced.jpg)
Popping out of our neighborhood church beginning just a few weeks in the past, there was 10) a white Tesla Mannequin Y parked within the lot. (See image under.)
![](https://cleantechnica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/5639_TeslaModelY_LindonStakeHouseLot_LindonUtah_17December2023-scaled.jpg)
As you may see, the dam has damaged and we’re properly on our solution to EVs taking on the car market in my neighborhood right here in Utah. Additionally, remarkably, all 4 ward members who tried EVs in 2014 at the moment are everlasting EV house owners. Sadly, it’s not practically sufficient, and on inversion days right here within the Wasatch Entrance area, the polluted air is lethal. (See image additional down under.) As lately as 2021, there have been 62 obligatory dangerous air alert days per 12 months on the Wasatch Entrance. Thus, even when you don’t imagine or care about world warming, driving electrical is essential. Even if you’re conscious that a lot of the electrical energy in Utah nonetheless comes from burning coal, that coal is burned far manner and we have now loads of motivation for switching to EVs right here.
That makes a complete of 10 EVs in my neighborhood (congregation) of 120 households. That might be an EV penetration of ~8%. In comparison with the US complete fleet penetration of 1.3%, we’re doing fairly properly. Nonetheless, if we determine that every household owns a mean of two automobiles, that may drop the penetration to about 4% — about the identical as the entire state of California. It’s attention-grabbing that we’re doing as properly right here in my neighborhood as California is doing, the state main the US in EV adoption by a big margin.
10 EVs within the neighborhood is an enormous deal! EVs are not simply owned by two of us EV evangelists going inexperienced. They’ve turn out to be mainstream and we could get many extra EV gross sales quickly within the neighborhood.
![](https://cleantechnica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/SLCTempInversion-2010Jan-JudeTibay.jpg)
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