Tesla introduced in the present day that the Giga Texas plant has simply constructed its 20 millionth 4680-type cylindrical battery cell: “Simply constructed our 20 millionth 4680 cell at Giga Texas!”
It is a very important milestone, which additionally reveals the common manufacturing fee over the previous 4 months, as a result of on June 16, the corporate celebrated 10 million cells produced on the web site.
It signifies that 10 million further cells have been produced in barely lower than 4 months. That is nearly 17 weeks and a mean fee of two.5+ million cells monthly (roughly 600,000 cells per week).
Tesla analyst Troy Teslike estimates that the common manufacturing fee of 85,470 cells per day (assuming 10,000,000 cells over 117 days) and 89.4 watt-hours of vitality per cell (unofficially), is about 7.6 megawatt-hours of vitality per day or 53.5 MWh of vitality per week (228 MWh monthly).
Now, assuming the anticipated Tesla Cybertruck’s battery capability, we will discover that there must be sufficient battery cells for not less than a number of hundred pickups per week:
assuming 100 kWh pack: 534/week or over 2,000 monthly assuming 120 kWh pack: 445/week assuming 150 kWh pack: 356/week
For reference, the retired Tesla Mannequin Y AWD from Texas (the one one with 4680-type batteries), was outfitted with a 67.3-kWh battery pack with (828 cells), in accordance with unofficial stories. As a result of the battery pack within the Tesla Cybertruck may be a lot greater, the identical quantity of batteries, will final for a decrease variety of automobiles.
We guess that at 2,000+ 100-kWh battery units, Tesla most likely isn’t restricted by the battery cell output proper now. Some analysts say that the corporate will produce a quite small variety of automobiles for patrons this 12 months – 100-200 items. Nonetheless, issues will get critical subsequent 12 months and in 2025.
As a result of we’re speaking about a mean fee, and since the ramp-up might be progressing step by step, the present 4680-type battery manufacturing more than likely is increased than the common over a four-month interval. Nonetheless, Tesla should tremendously enhance the output, if the Cybertruck manufacturing is predicted to go high-volume in 2024 or 2025.
Even at 100,000 Tesla Cybertrucks per 12 months and 100-kWh battery packs, we’re speaking about greater than 110 million battery cells (3-4 increased than the common prior to now 4 months).