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Tesla (TSLA) Q4 2024 earnings preview: here’s what to expect

January 28, 2025
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Tesla (TSLA) Q4 2024 earnings preview: here’s what to expect
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Tesla (TSLA) is ready to announce its This autumn 2024 monetary outcomes on Wednesday, January 29, following the market’s shut. As per custom, a convention name and Q&A session with Tesla’s administration will comply with the announcement.

On this article, we’ll discover what analysts and retail buyers anticipate for the upcoming quarterly outcomes.

Tesla This autumn 2024 Deliveries

Regardless of Elon Musk and his devoted shareholders branding Tesla as extra of an AI/Robotics agency, the corporate’s automotive sector stays its principal income driver.

Earlier this month, Tesla revealed its This autumn 2024 automobile manufacturing and supply numbers:

  • Mannequin 3/Y: 436,718 items produced, 471,930 items delivered
  • Different Fashions: 22,727 items produced, 23,640 items delivered
  • Whole: 459,445 items produced, 495,570 items delivered

This quarter, deliveries fell in need of Wall Avenue’s expectations.

Along with the automotive figures, Tesla now consists of power storage deployments in its quarterly manufacturing and supply studies. The corporate confirmed it deployed 11 GWh of power storage by way of its Megapack and Powerwall merchandise this quarter, marking a brand new document.

Tesla This autumn 2024 Income

Analysts have a reasonably clear understanding of anticipated income, largely because of the supply figures and power storage information. Nonetheless, estimating income has change into more and more complicated, as Tesla continuously adjusts the common value per automobile as a consequence of varied value cuts and reductions throughout a number of markets.

Following the lower-than-expected supply figures, analysts have needed to revise their income projections. Whereas document power storage deployment is predicted to spice up revenues, the worth reductions on Megapack merchandise over the previous yr may mood these expectations.

The Wall Avenue consensus for This autumn 2024 income is $27.224 billion, whereas Estimize, a monetary estimate crowdsourcing platform, barely raises this prediction to $27.230 billion.

Here’s a comparability of Tesla’s income predictions over the previous two years, with Estimize in blue, Wall Avenue consensus in grey, and precise ends in inexperienced.

Final quarter, Tesla fell in need of income expectations, however larger revenues are anticipated for this quarter, because the forecasts appear cheap.

Tesla This autumn 2024 Earnings

Tesla goals to take care of a slight profitability every quarter whereas reinvesting closely in development, a technique it has efficiently executed over the previous three years. Nonetheless, estimating earnings has change into tougher as a consequence of value cuts and sponsored loans impacting Tesla’s traditionally excessive gross margins.

This autumn is commonly distinctive as a result of Tesla tends to build up and promote extra Zero Emission Automobile (ZEV) credit, which might considerably bolster earnings.

For This autumn 2024, Wall Avenue expects earnings of $0.77 per share, whereas Estimize predicts a barely larger determine of $0.79.

Listed below are the earnings-per-share predictions from the previous two years, with Estimize in blue, Wall Avenue consensus in grey, and precise ends in inexperienced.

Within the earlier quarter, Tesla exceeded EPS expectations as a consequence of decrease prices, which was noteworthy as the corporate had indicated larger prices simply months earlier.

Different Expectations for the TSLA Shareholder’s Letter and Analyst Name

Lately, a listing of the most well-liked shareholder questions more likely to come up throughout the convention name was shared.

Among the many subjects of curiosity are updates on the unsupervised self-driving timelines and the Optimus program, which Musk has introduced as a key issue that might rework Tesla into "the world’s most precious firm."

Whereas it might be insightful to know how Musk’s current controversies may have an effect on the corporate, the main focus stays on upcoming product bulletins. Particularly, the launch of latest, extra reasonably priced fashions based mostly on the Mannequin 3/Y is essential for reinvigorating development in Tesla’s automotive phase.



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